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12 Oct 2021 - 談談五個投資謬誤 (信報「財智博立」專欄)

我們的投資策略是以長線思維投資優質增長股,提到長期投資,不少人以為即是買入股票後分長揸不放,相信這是一個只看表面意思的謬誤。首先,長期投資的先決條件是選好股,我們會通過選股評核機制選取優質增長企業,並在預期合理回報才買入作投資,做好「前置式主動風險管理」。買入股票後,我們並非坐著...

Tuesday, May 03, 2011

3 May 2011 - 談遠東宏信(3360),買入華潤微電子(597)、精電(710)、新華文軒(811)及中芯國際(981)

投資組合自2005年12月14日成立日計至今回報:304%

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重組投資組合

為了取得更理想回報,及用多些時間作更深入研究,筆者從2011年5日1日起重組投資組合,主力改變投資策略及組合管理,可按此了解詳情。!

專欄作家!

先前提及,筆者除Blogger的身份外,不知不覺成為了專欄作家!(有興趣可按此重溫)數一數,原來筆者於過去一年已在「香港經濟日報」的「投資理財週刊」及「PC Market雜誌」,分別發表了24篇及56篇文章!

遠東宏信(3360):中國融資租賃市場的「物以罕為貴」

筆者於今天出版的「投資理財週刊」撰文「遠東宏信(3360):中國融資租賃市場的「物以罕為貴」」,亦正密切留意買入遠東宏信(3360)的機會。什麼是融資租賃?筆者從網上找到這個解說「融資租金業務運作模式是指集團的客戶作為承租人,將挑選一項資產如設備或機械,而遠東宏信則為承租人購買該資產;承租人及後於租賃期間使用該資產,而遠東宏信則於租賃期內收回租金及利息;而客戶可選擇於租賃期屆滿後,提出回購資產的擁有權。」

那麼又怎樣「物以罕為貴」?筆者從今天的文章節錄一段給大家參考「以年收入計僅次於國銀融資租賃,但以淨利潤計為中國同業最高的遠東宏信(3360)於3月30日上市,招股時雖只錄得4倍的超額認購,但股價卻在不大受市場注目下一個月內升了約35%。背靠大股東中化集團的遠東宏信上市時的策略投資者包括新加坡政府投資公司、中金公司及管理資產達610億美元的資產管理公司KKR,貨源歸邊下,看好此行業的基金投資者於近周投資氣氛欠佳下亦只能在市場「買、買、買」。那麼蜜月期何時完結,先留意上述股東的禁售期為半年;另外,規模較小的鑫橋聯合融資租賃亦剛表明已委任摩根大通及摩根士丹利等作為承銷商,積極成為第二間來港上市的中國融資租賃公司。」

中國煤炭行業投資機會剖析

另外,筆者於昨天出版的「PC Market雜誌」撰文「中國煤炭行業投資機會剖析」,從上游談到運輸物流銷售,再談到開採,一篇寫不完,待續。

買入華潤微電子(597)及中芯國際(981)作中線投資

今天事忙,有機才詳加解釋。

因風險較大,先買入目標持貨的一半,前者為華潤蒼海遺珠,正被努力打造,重組後去年業績理想,但持有需耐性,未必會短期見真章;後者令投資者失望良久,股東結構變清,官司完結,中投剛買入可換股債券,間接幫投資者做了盡責審責,買入望其否極泰來。

買入精電(710)及新華文軒(811)作中線投資

今天事忙,有機才詳加解釋。

昨天提及筆者已將目標股票在「紅猴股票估值表」(按此)在其股票編號(Column A)用上藍色顯示,除了這些,筆者也會買入其他認為抵買的股票,但投資額或較少。此兩股乃後者。

投資組合

因持較重倉的信義玻璃(868)、中聯重科(1157)及中國聯塑(2128)表現理想,今天投資組合市值得以逆市上升。

(按一下下圖可放大)


(Contact: redmonkey@redmonkey.hk)

8 comments:

1007 said...

紅猴兄:

小弟一近2年一路睇你個BLOG
絕對相信你無做假數
而你的風險管理我亦十分同意

其實我有一個請求
就係你如果時間許可,可否於買入股票時
於FACEBOOK,或此BLOG即時講低
好讓小弟唔使晚上睇BLOG,第2日先買已經太遲

THANKS SO MUCH !!!!

Jay-J said...

I bought 580 at $ 2.8 long time ago, it keep fall and now is only $ 1.62. Can you help advise if it is worth to keep it or buy the second round at the present price.

Thanks!

Anonymous said...

猴兄, 想問你點睇家電股??
手上仲持有緊TCL Multimedia 同海信科龍

紅猴 said...

About "可否於買入股票時於FACEBOOK,或此BLOG即時講低?", actually, I squeezed my time to buy/sell shares during office hours as I am engaged by my current job. Therefore, I don't think updating blog, facebook, etc. under the current circumstances is fair to my job.

Hope you understand.

Redmonkey

紅猴 said...

JL,

Simply speaking, I don't like 580 and it seems that I have mentioned it during its IPO. From its IPO prospectus, we can see that it is totally different from 3898 and I wonder why some analysts still think that 580 is lagging behind in view of PE differences with 3898.

580 seems don't have self-developed technology. It is the reason why its PE has a large discount from 3898.

Redmonkey

紅猴 said...

JL,

Simply speaking, I don't like 580 and it seems that I have mentioned it during its IPO.

From its IPO prospectus, we can see that it is totally different from 3898 and I wonder why some analysts or columnists still think that 580 is lagging behind in view of PE differences with 3898.

580 seems don't have self-developed technology. It is the core competency that a businees must rely on for long-term development. It is the reason why its PE has a large discount from 3898.

By the way, I don't know how to value 580.

Redmonkey


Redmonkey

紅猴 said...

Actually, I think my valuation model may not make sense for 家電股 and my experiences in investing in this sector is not good. Therefore, it is not good for me to give you comment on this.

Thanks.

Redmonkey

至GAG said...

請問太陽能行業點睇啊?
有d估值唔高喎