Thursday, October 05, 2006

5 Oct 2006 - 投資組合檢討

筆者的投資組合截至今天升了39.66%,小幅度領先同期國企指數升幅(37.2%)及拋離恒指升幅(19.6%),以筆者投資的保守心態有此成績算是不賴罷!

(按一下下圖可放大)


長線投資組合投資了11隻股票,看似很散,其實除利豐(494)及宏利金融(945)外,只集中投資了3類股票,包括中國金融、中國房地產及中國航空業,只是再於每類股票作分散投資。亦因投資的股票類別都是市場焦點,所以表現理想。

中線投資組合中,震雄集團(57)、愛高集團(328)、鴻興印刷(450)及環新國際(502)為價值投資,可能要等一段時間才能上升以反映其價值,好像環新國際(502)等到昨天才錄得一定升幅;尤其在最近的旺市,價值投資更易被忽略,筆者不排除為追求更佳回報而暫時放棄這些股票。

前天追加中海化學(3983),因不想持太多肥料股而以$2.74沽出中化香港(297);中海化學(3983)和中化香港(297)規模相若,但PE更低,加上新上市有動力炒上,所以作出此換股決定。

筆者其實想買入玖龍紙業(2689),但因已買入同類股理文造紙(2314)已暫時擱置。玖龍紙業(2689)2007年預期每股盈利$0.5,因其高增長PE樂觀可見25,即股價$12.5;理文造紙(2314)2007年預期每股盈利$1.18,PE見20即股價見$23.6。市況保持旺盛的話還有很多水位!

(Contact: micjacq@gmail.com)

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi Michael,

I watch you blog everyday and learn a lot from you, thanks very much.

I would like to ask what is the prefer price to purchase 2689 in my stock list? Can you make a suggestion?

Regards,

Edmond

紅猴 said...

Thanks for your support.

If you are eager to buy it, you can buy it now or at $8.8 (10-day moving average)

If you can wait for a whiel, you can buy it at $8.2 (20-day moving average).

As I have held 2314, I would prefer waiting for a better price.

Anonymous said...

簡兄好像把 AAC Acoustic 和 理文造紙 的備註調轉了。

紅猴 said...

Thanks. Will correct next time!