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Wednesday, February 22, 2006

21 Feb 2006 - 玖龍纸業(2689)恐防上市首日已見$5

玖龍纸業(2689)招股反應非常熱烈,大部份證券行已用盡孖展額, 最終應會超額數百倍。有證券行將玖龍一年目標定為$4.9,未免太保守,以此氣勢,筆者恐防其上市首日已見$5以上。玖龍纸業(2689)已經沒有不抽之理,只要抽不抽到才是問題所在,那幾點風險因素,若目標是短線沽出的話,放埋一邊算了,何必多慮,慮只是慮上市前大市會否急跌,當年中國移動(941)便是一大人辦,但這又是否我們所能慮?。

有些投資者覺得抽新股不化算,鎖死資金10日8日,若反應好抽得少便賺得少,甚至有抽不到之虞,筆者亦認同此說,所以會用不抄股之資金用來抽新股,怎說也好過放在銀行罷!有些投資者又賺麻煩不抽,筆者最不明此說,現時科技進步,上網抽新股極其方便,一分鐘已完成整個情序,又可上市後即日沽貨;若嫌$50或$100的手續費不抵,抽不到便石沉大诲,那樣吝嗇就不要買股票算了!

昨天,玖龍纸業(2689)招股之輻射已擴散至其他紙業股,當中理文造紙(2314)再大升$0.65至$10.15,破歷史新高,筆者终於守得雲開見月明,若短期有幸見筆者目標價$10.9,應會沽出套利。


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4 comments:

W君 said...

玖龍纸業(2689)招股反應非常熱烈,大部份證券行已用盡孖展額,最終應會超額數百倍。有證券行將玖龍一年目標定為$4.9,未免太保守,以此氣勢,筆者恐防其上市首日已見$5以上。
=================================
有沒有咁勁?
本人己抽了一手玩下!
致不在賺錢, 致在見識下!!

$4.9可能不是保守!
因他們可能講緊長線個價. 首日開市或會升至$5, 但回落事在必行, 只差幾時!


========================
玖龍纸業(2689)已經沒有不抽之理,只要抽不抽到才是問題所在,那幾點風險因素,若目標是短線沽出的話,放埋一邊算了,何必多慮,慮只是慮上市前大市會否急跌,當年中國移動(941)便是一大人辦,但這又是否我們所能慮?。

有些投資者覺得抽新股不化算,鎖死資金10日8日,若反應好抽得少便賺得少,甚至有抽不到之虞,筆者亦認同此說,所以會用不抄股之資金用來抽新股,怎說也好過放在銀行罷!
==================
這正是不抽之理!
其實如您要炒, 不如炒影子股好過!
先前在別處也說過, 以抽中率有1%計, 只要您找到一隻在7-10日升多過6%股票, 玖龍就算升到$5.6(64.71%)也唔夠皮! 這只是和借了孖展的人講. 用全數真銀抽仲衰, 升到$8都跑輸人成條街!!

所以佢就算是精熙托世也不是""真的""賺很多!!

何況在現時找隻升6%的股票是多麼容易的事!! 根本沒有去抽之理!! 抽了只會像是賺錢, 實則蝕錢!! 有閒錢都應該去買市場上的股票, 再唔係咪炒期law! 根本無愁出路!!

==================
有些投資者又賺麻煩不抽,筆者最不明此說,現時科技進步,上網抽新股極其方便,一分鐘已完成整個情序,又可上市後即日沽貨;若嫌$50或$100的手續費不抵,抽不到便石沉大诲,那樣吝嗇就不要買股票算了!
===================
這亦是很多人不玩期指期權的原因!
話麻煩, 難, 唔好玩!
實則識玩仲易過玩股票, 玩股票太多野要理!

以上是本人的意見!!
可能會錯到飛起!!

Toby C said...

W君,

as you mentioned there are many stock could have 6% growth in stock price, could you help to provide few and with comments? It's hard for me to locate...

thanks~

W君 said...

Toby C,
Hi. Personally I don't play stocks very much. My main focus is on futures/options! If you know how to play, it can be much profitable than stocks!

Anyway, return to "stocks", basically you need to consider several things before you can select a "hot" stock of that week/month:
- generally when the market is "hot", it is easier for you to pick a rising stock
- In Jan, people are frying H-shares & sectors of energy/banks/insurance/half-new stocks etc. When you realise that, you should select stocks from these sectors, but not others like telecomm, aircraft (even if they have good fundamental factors)!
- If you are a technie, you can look at the chart to find some potentially "stroung uphelding" stocks, eg stocks which breaks important price!
- You may also buy "news" stocks. First don't listen to all sorts of news. Some news are traps! Only believe news which are reliable. Eg: 127 & 8277. 物美商業(8277)併購北京第4大超市,作價3﹒7億元取75%權益. This is very positive news to 8277. After you read that news, place your order before the market opens!
- When things go against you, stop-loss immediately! You need your capital to fry another potential stock!

So the key point is to find momentum stocks, not fumdamental stocks! The tactics are simply "buy high and sell higher", "buy fast and sell fast", "always hold short and never hold long"!

A君 said...

玖龍纸業(2689)上市首日什麼價位追入好呢?