Wednesday, May 27, 2009

27 Mar 2009 - 大市又一次上破阻力!此次計劃不夠周詳!

投資組合自2005年12月14日成立日計至今回報:151%

亞洲股市此次升浪的代表香港、台灣及星加坡三地股市月前創新高後徘徊一段時間,似有搖搖欲墜之勢時,今天終切實來一記向上突破,尤以恒指及國指最強。筆者近日沒有減少股票比重之意,但亦沒有增持之計劃,不得不承認想得不夠透切,因今天之大成交上破月內高位,應可視為增加股票比重之訊號,應早點加以準備!

根據不少分析,技術上此次量度升幅可達20,000至21,000,即去年去年尾陸東預測今年會達到但當時沒有太多人相信的目標!

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投資組合回報升破150%,市值回到去年8月初時,當時恒指及國指分別報約22,500及12,500,比現時還高兩成,即投資組合於此段時間跑贏大市不少。

信義玻璃(868)配新股9,000萬股集資5.22億元,佔已發行股本5%,攤薄不多。集資所得將主要用於光伏薄膜導電(TCO)玻璃的擴產以及相關的配套投資,配合公司近期擴充策略。公司年初預期,全年的資本開支為7 億元,若計入新引進的項目,今年資本開支會增多5億元。

管理層表示加大投入的同時,公司想繼續保持穩健的財政情况,不想增大負債率,因此決定以配股實現集資。

此次配新股集資有足夠理據支持,屬正面。可惜同時第二大股東則配舊股抽水約4.64億元,會使股價短期受壓!

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(Contact: redmonkey@redmonkey.hk)

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Hi, Redmonkey,

I appreciate your willingness to admit faults and endeavour to improve! That's the way to success. Keep it up!

To some of my friends, I am a bit too confident. My predictions, as you can see, are quite bold, But not many investors really have self-confident. I would say most of them are gamblers instead of real investors.

I believe a real investor must acquire adequate knowledge of both basic and technical analyses. In the past few years, I concentrated on the former. Now I start to enhance my knowledge of basic analysis.

Last year I told my wife I would become Mr Tso II, but now I regret having said that. I want to be Buffet II.

Am I too ambitious?

Paul
28/ 5/ 2009