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蟹貨區實不弱
筆者先前提及，蟹貨區阻力實有兩個，不只由今年8月開始維持了一個月的那一個小蟹貨區，還可可追索至2009年10月至2010年9月恒指及國指爆升前的整固期大蟹貨區，影響則不容小覷。今天以下列兩圖作解究，反而國指還未真正踏入先前的大蟹貨區，上升阻力暫時較弱。
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恒指走勢圖(鳴謝：www.chartnexus.com.hk)
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國指走勢圖(鳴謝：www.chartnexus.com.hk)
沽貨整固
昨天提及，筆者於上週四及五大舉入貨，實認為投資氣氛有機改善，部份資金有望重投股市而趁勢吸納。因買入時不少優質股已嫌升幅已高及估值已不便宜，所以亦放低要求買了些較為落後的股票。不過，當良好氣氛未能持續，市場反應(如意債拍賣未達標兼息升等)有所反彈，筆者為防消化不良，會沽出一些質素較差或風險較高的股票以作整固，所以今天止賺及止蝕下列股票，將投資組合現金比率增至32%，控制在30%至35%的較安全水平。當中周生生(116)非質差，但買入後升幅不錯兼估值相對不便宜，因已買入相類股英皇鐘錶(887)故先行套利。
以$24沽出1,000股周生生(116)，賺$3,500或17.1%
以$1.75沽出12,000股勝獅貨櫃(716)，蝕$960或4.4%
以$5.52沽出4,000股廣州藥業(874)，蝕$1,920或8%
以$2.35沽出12,000股中國生物製藥(1177)，蝕$1,200或4.1%
近日股評
30 Oct 2011 - 人心變化比市場更甚！(按此重溫)
27 Oct 2011 - 高成交突破進入蟹貨區下大舉入貨 (按此重溫)
25 Oct 2011 - 微博的Fans數目突破1,000，捐款$1,000以示表謝意 (按此重溫)
25 Oct 2011 - 突破？未突破！(按此重溫)
20 Oct 2011 - 牛熊莫辨 (按此重溫)
19 Oct 2011 - 留意10天平均線及20天平均線的交界支持 (按此重溫)
投資組合
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(Contact: redmonkey@redmonkey.hk)
3 comments:
Dear RM
review your portfolio of 31 and 30 oct;
The holding of 716 and 1177 you just disposed should be 12000 and 10000 (instead of 10000 and 8000)?
am i right?
best regards
your reader
Dear RM
Also, you brought 874 at $6 for 4000 shares, and sold it at $5.32. the net should be -$2,720, instead of -$1,920
Regards
your reader
Appreciate for your monitoring and please keep on verifying my contents and calculation.
After checking, there is no mistake about calculation. It is just due to typo error in the blog contents due to carelessness.
- The selling price of 874 should be $5.52 instead of $5.32. The lowest trading price is $5.43 and it is impossible for me to sell it at $5.32.
- The holdings of 716 should be 12,000 instead of 10,000 in blog contents
- The holdings of 1177 should be 10,000 instead of 8,000 in blog contents. However, just discover that 1177 should be multiples of 4,000 shares (as you know, I adjust my portfolio in proportion with my actual holdings), I have readjusted it as 12,000 shares instead of 8,000 shares, which turned out make the portfolio loss $200 more.
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